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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 41%, and $331.5 in liquidity.
Probability
41%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$331.5
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question about Game 5 between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming: did both sides manage to take at least one elemental dragon? Because it is tied to a single game in a potentially decisive series, the answer depends on how the match actually plays out on stage, not on overall team strength alone.
The event is the fifth game of the Anyone's Legend vs. Bilibili Gaming match, scheduled to resolve by the end of the listed game window on 2026-06-08. A "Yes" means both teams each slain at least one elemental dragon during Game 5; a "No" means at least one team failed to secure any elemental dragon in that game. Only the standard elemental dragons count here, so Elder Dragon kills do not satisfy the condition, and if Game 5 is never completed or never needed, the market falls back to a 50-50 resolution.
Dragon control is one of the clearest ways to measure early and mid-game map pressure in League of Legends, especially in a high-stakes deciding game where both teams may play more cautiously or more aggressively around objectives. The uncertainty comes from draft, lane priority, jungle pathing, and whether the game reaches a stage where both sides can contest objectives before one team takes control of the map. That is the disagreement this market is capturing: whether Game 5 develops into a full objective trade pattern, or whether one side is shut out of dragon access.
The biggest price moves would come from the shape of the series itself: if the match goes to a true Game 5 with even gold and repeated fights around river objectives, the chance of both teams taking dragons rises. Drafts that favor strong early skirmishing, mid lane push, or coordinated dragon setup can also make a double-dragon result more likely, while one-sided lane phases or very fast snowballing games cut the other team off from its first dragon. Any sign that the game is being decided through early map control, or instead through a quick surrender or hard stomp, matters more here than raw kill count.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 41% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify that Game 5 is actually played, fully completed, and not voided by a forfeit, cancellation, or series result that ends the match before a fifth game is needed, because those cases resolve to 50-50 under the rules. The source of truth is the official match record for this series and the in-game dragon objective history for Game 5, since Elder Dragons do not count toward the condition. If the game ends early, the key detail is whether both Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming had already secured at least one elemental dragon before the stoppage.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 41%, and $331.5 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
41%
No
59%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 5. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 5. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 5. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 5 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 5 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 41%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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