Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 43%, and $235 in liquidity.

Probability

43%

24h Volume

Liquidity

$235

Live chart

No price history

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M MAX

Chart outcome

Switches which outcome price history is shown.

Yes price No price

Current

58%

Change

-1.5%

High

59.5%

Low

57%

No moved from 59.5% to 58% over the last week, trading between 57% and 59.5%.

No price history from Polymarket CLOB.

22 points

Market context

This market asks a very specific League of Legends question about Game 5 between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming: did both sides manage to take at least one elemental dragon? Because it is tied to a single game in a potentially decisive series, the answer depends on how the match actually plays out on stage, not on overall team strength alone.

What this market is about

The event is the fifth game of the Anyone's Legend vs. Bilibili Gaming match, scheduled to resolve by the end of the listed game window on 2026-06-08. A "Yes" means both teams each slain at least one elemental dragon during Game 5; a "No" means at least one team failed to secure any elemental dragon in that game. Only the standard elemental dragons count here, so Elder Dragon kills do not satisfy the condition, and if Game 5 is never completed or never needed, the market falls back to a 50-50 resolution.

Why the market exists

Dragon control is one of the clearest ways to measure early and mid-game map pressure in League of Legends, especially in a high-stakes deciding game where both teams may play more cautiously or more aggressively around objectives. The uncertainty comes from draft, lane priority, jungle pathing, and whether the game reaches a stage where both sides can contest objectives before one team takes control of the map. That is the disagreement this market is capturing: whether Game 5 develops into a full objective trade pattern, or whether one side is shut out of dragon access.

What can move the price

The biggest price moves would come from the shape of the series itself: if the match goes to a true Game 5 with even gold and repeated fights around river objectives, the chance of both teams taking dragons rises. Drafts that favor strong early skirmishing, mid lane push, or coordinated dragon setup can also make a double-dragon result more likely, while one-sided lane phases or very fast snowballing games cut the other team off from its first dragon. Any sign that the game is being decided through early map control, or instead through a quick surrender or hard stomp, matters more here than raw kill count.

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