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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $110 in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$110
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.5%
Change
-50%
High
53.5%
Low
0.5%
Cloud9 moved from 50.5% to 0.5% over the last 6 hours, trading between 0.5% and 53.5%.
Cloud9 price history from Polymarket CLOB.
22 points
This market asks a very specific question about the opening moments of Game 1 in the LCS Playoffs upper bracket final: which side, Cloud9 or LYON, will get the first kill advantage. Because first blood often reflects early lane pressure, jungle pathing, and draft execution, this is the kind of micro-event that can swing on just one mistake or a well-timed move.
The event in focus is the upper bracket final between Cloud9 and LYON, initially scheduled for June 7 at 4:00 PM ET. The market resolves to the team that secures first blood in Game 1; if Game 1 never happens, is abandoned before first blood, ends in a remake before a first blood is established, or finishes with no first blood at all, the specified 50-50 fallback rules apply. Final resolution is tied to official results on gol.gg, with credible reporting and video evidence only becoming relevant if that site does not post final results within two hours after the match ends.
First blood is a narrow event with real uncertainty even when one team is favored overall, because it depends on the first few minutes of the draft and the opening pathing choices rather than the full strength of the teams over an entire series. In a playoff setting like this, the stakes are high and the early game can be especially scripted, so readers may care about which side is more likely to seize the first opening rather than who wins the match. The current market is heavily tilted toward LYON, which suggests traders see the opening-game first-blood race as more likely to go that way than to Cloud9.
Anything that changes expectations for the first minutes of Game 1 can move this market: the confirmed starting rosters, last-minute substitutions, draft tendencies, and whether either team is expected to play for early skirmishes or a safer scaling setup. Because this is the upper bracket final, the series context also matters; teams sometimes change how aggressively they contest level-one and river vision in playoff games compared with the regular season. If official match pages, draft notes, or the live game itself show an unexpected opening invade, lane swap, or early jungle move, that would directly affect who is more likely to land first blood.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, the key things to verify are that Game 1 actually starts, that it finishes without a remake-related edge case, and that the first blood call is visible in the official result source. The main source of truth is gol.gg, but if final results are not posted there within two hours after the match ends, the market can fall back on credible reporting and video evidence. Readers should also check the timestamp and schedule, since a cancellation or a delay beyond seven days from the original date forces the 50-50 outcome under the rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $110 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Cloud9
0%
LYON
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Upper bracket final match between Cloud9 and LYON in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 7 at 4:00PM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 1 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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