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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, $10 in 24h volume, and $156.4 in liquidity.
Probability
5%
24h Volume
$10
Liquidity
$156.4
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: will anyone land a Quadra Kill in Game 2? Because a Quadra Kill can happen in a single burst of action and can swing a fight fast, it is the kind of highlight that can decide whether this market resolves Yes or No. The low Yes price suggests the market is treating it as an uncommon in-game event, but the actual outcome will depend entirely on how Game 2 plays out.
A Quadra Kill in League of Legends means one player kills four enemy champions in quick succession. This market resolves to Yes if any player on either team gets a Quadra Kill during Game 2, and a Penta Kill also counts because it includes a Quadra Kill. If no one reaches four kills in succession during that game, the market resolves No; if the game is canceled, never played, delayed too long, or Game 2 is not needed because the series ends early, the market resolves 50-50 under the stated rules.
Whether a Quadra Kill happens in a single game is hard to know in advance because it depends on draft, team fights, kill distribution, and how messy or one-sided the match becomes. In some games, one carry can clean up multiple low-health opponents; in others, kills are spread out too evenly for any player to chain four together. That uncertainty is what the market is pricing, especially in a single-game format where one big fight can change the result quickly.
The biggest price movers are changes that make a wipeout-style team fight more likely: aggressive team compositions, heavy engage, fragile backlines, or a mismatch that leads to repeated late-game fights. Roster news before the match, last-minute substitutions, or a different draft direction in Game 1 can also matter because they change which players are likely to get the final blows. Once Game 2 starts, long skirmishes, ace potential, and whether one team has a dominant hyper-carry are the main live clues that could push the market toward Yes.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 5% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key things to verify are that Game 2 actually gets played, that it completes normally, and that the match is not ruled out by the special cases in the market rules such as forfeit, walkover, cancellation, or an early series clinch. Resolution is tied to official results from gol.gg/esports/home, so that page is the source to check if there is any dispute about whether a Quadra Kill occurred or whether the game was remade. If the game ends in a surrender or partial finish, the rule is still specific: the market depends on whether a Quadra Kill happened before stoppage, and otherwise resolves No.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, $10 in 24h volume, and $156.4 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
5%
No
95%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 5%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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