
--
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 95%, $10 in 24h volume, and $156.4 in liquidity.
Probability
95%
24h Volume
$10
Liquidity
$156.4
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: will anyone in Game 3 record a Quadra Kill. Because a quadra kill means one player personally takes four enemy champions in quick succession, it usually depends on a chaotic team fight, a late-game cleanup, or a rare snowball moment that can swing a map. The market is worth watching because it resolves on a single in-game event, not on who wins the match.
The event is Game 3 of the series listed on the page, and the outcome is simply whether any player from either team gets a Quadra Kill during that game. Under the market rules, a Penta Kill also counts as a Quadra Kill for resolution purposes, so any five-kill streak would satisfy the condition. If Game 3 is never played, is canceled, is delayed beyond seven days, or is not needed because the series ends earlier, the market resolves 50-50 instead of Yes or No.
Quadra Kills are uncommon enough that they are not guaranteed in a normal professional game, but they are still plausible when teams fight around objectives, barons, or base defenses. Readers care because the outcome depends on draft, tempo, scaling, and whether one side can create a fight where a single carry or assassin can chain multiple kills before the battle ends. The market is pricing that uncertainty for this one specific game rather than for the series as a whole.
Anything that makes Game 3 more likely to be fast, bloody, or decision-heavy can matter here, especially if the teams draft high-damage champions, resets, or strong team-fight compositions. Roster substitutions, a sudden style change, or a patch/meta that favors explosive late-game carries can also increase the chance of a quadra kill, while slow macro play and low-kill games make it less likely. Because the market is about a single map, even one long ace or one shutdown fight can be enough to change the outcome.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 95% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Check whether Game 3 is actually played, because a forfeit, walkover, disqualification, cancellation, or series result that ends the match early all trigger special 50-50 handling under the rules. The official source is gol.gg/esports/home, and the market says results should come from that source, with a fallback if final results are not published within two hours after the event ends. If the game is remade, only the remade version counts, and if the game stops early after starting, the key question is whether a Quadra Kill happened before stoppage.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 95%, $10 in 24h volume, and $156.4 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
95%
No
5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 95%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

--
24h Vol
$314.3K
Liquidity
$15.7K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$254.7K
Liquidity
$11K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$195.6K
Liquidity
$11.6K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$119.2K
Liquidity
$4.9K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
-0.1%
24h Vol
$554.2
Liquidity
$3.6K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market