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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, $10 in 24h volume, and $156.4 in liquidity.
Probability
5%
24h Volume
$10
Liquidity
$156.4
This market asks a very specific in-game question in League of Legends: during Game 3 between Cloud9 and LYON, did both teams secure at least one elemental dragon? Because dragons are a major objective that can shape the pace of a game, this is the kind of event that can swing quickly depending on lane control, jungle pressure, and whether the game reaches the early dragon fights.
The title refers to Game 3 of the Cloud9 vs. LYON series, and the outcome depends only on that single game, not the full match. A "Yes" result requires Cloud9 and LYON each to have slain at least one elemental dragon during Game 3; a "No" result covers any game where one side never takes an elemental dragon. Only the standard elemental dragons count here, while Elder Dragon kills do not.
Dragon control is a concrete, measurable part of League of Legends strategy, but it is not automatic that both teams will get one in the same game. Some games are dominated so quickly that one side never reaches an objective window, while in slower or more contested games both teams may trade dragon control at different points. That makes this a narrow, matchup-specific question rather than a broad forecast about who wins the series.
Anything that changes the expected shape of Game 3 can matter here, especially roster or draft information that points to early skirmishing, strong jungle pathing, or a team comp built around objective control. A fast stomp by either side lowers the chance that both teams touch a dragon, while a back-and-forth game with repeated setups around the river increases it. Because the market is tied to one map, even a short game, a remake, or a one-sided draft can be more important than the broader series context.
The current market price implies roughly a 5% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is whether Game 3 is actually played to completion, because the rules send several non-played outcomes to 50-50, including cancellation, forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or a series ending before Game 3 is needed. If the game starts but ends early, the deciding question is whether both teams had already slain at least one elemental dragon before the stoppage. For normal resolution, the source of truth is the game itself: watch the live match state or the official VOD/replay for dragon kills, and remember that Elder Dragons do not count toward this market.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, $10 in 24h volume, and $156.4 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
5%
No
95%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Cloud9 and LYON each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 3. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 5%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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