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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 3?. The market currently shows a live probability of 95%, $10 in 24h volume, and $174.2 in liquidity.
Probability
95%
24h Volume
$10
Liquidity
$174.2
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
95%
Change
+43%
High
95%
Low
40.5%
Cloud9 moved from 52% to 95% over the last week, trading between 40.5% and 95%.
Cloud9 price history from Polymarket CLOB.
85 points
This market asks a very specific question about the LCS Playoffs upper bracket final between Cloud9 and LYON: which team will get the first kill in Game 3. Because the result depends on one early in-game moment, it can swing on draft, lane matchups, jungle paths, and how aggressively each team plays the opening minutes.
The market resolves to Cloud9 or LYON based on who secures first blood in Game 3 of their scheduled match, initially listed for June 7 at 4:00 PM ET. If the match is not played, is delayed beyond seven days, or Game 3 is never completed because of a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, the market goes to 50-50 under the stated rules. If Game 3 is remade, the first blood before the remake counts; if no first blood happens in a completed Game 3, it also resolves 50-50.
Even in a series with a clear favorite on paper, first blood is a noisy early-game stat that can turn on small decisions rather than the final match result. Cloud9 and LYON are both in a high-stakes playoff setting, so viewers may disagree on which side is more likely to control the opening minutes, and that uncertainty is exactly what this market reflects. The title matters because it isolates one event inside one specific game, not the whole series.
Anything that changes the expected early game can matter here, especially draft priorities, jungle pathing, lane pressure, and whether either side is likely to play for a safe or explosive start. Roster changes, champion comfort, and patch or meta shifts are especially relevant in playoff LoL because they can alter who has better level-one or first-gank options. If Game 3 approaches after a lopsided earlier game in the series, that can also shape expectations about which team is likely to start aggressively.
The current market price implies roughly a 95% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key things to verify are the official match status, whether Game 3 actually starts, and whether it finishes normally or is interrupted, because the rule set treats each case differently. The stated source of truth is official results from gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting or video evidence only used if final results are not posted within two hours after conclusion. Readers should also pay attention to the exact playoff schedule and any delay beyond seven days from the listed date, since that changes how the market resolves.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 3?. The market currently shows a live probability of 95%, $10 in 24h volume, and $174.2 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Cloud9
95%
LYON
5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Upper bracket final match between Cloud9 and LYON in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 7 at 4:00PM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 3. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 3 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 95%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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