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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $0.2 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0.2
This market asks a very specific in-game question about Game 5 of a League of Legends series between Cloud9 and LYON: will both teams secure at least one elemental dragon? Because dragons can shape lane control, map tempo, and later win conditions, this is a useful way to track whether the deciding game develops into a contest around neutral objectives or stays focused elsewhere.
The outcome depends on Game 5 only, and only elemental dragons count: Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud. The market resolves "Yes" if Cloud9 and LYON each slay at least one elemental dragon during that game; if either side fails to take one, it resolves "No." Elder Dragons do not count, and if the series never reaches a completed Game 5 for any of the listed reasons, the market goes to 50-50 instead of a game result.
In League of Legends, dragon control is one of the clearest signs that a game is being fought around the map rather than only through kills or towers. A deciding game can go either way: both teams may contest early dragons aggressively, or one team may ignore them while playing for other objectives, so there is real uncertainty about whether each side will get on the board at least once.
Draft and early-game style matter a lot here, especially if either roster picks champions that can contest river fights, rotate quickly, or force early skirmishes around dragon spawn times. A game that becomes one-sided before the first few objectives can make it much less likely that both teams tag a dragon, while a close back-and-forth game usually raises the chance that each side eventually takes one. Since this is Game 5, the series context itself matters too: teams often tighten up their objective play in a decider, which can change how often they commit to dragon fights.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key source of truth is the actual completed Game 5 result and the in-game objective log: who claimed the elemental dragons, and whether the match reached completion. Readers should verify that the game was truly played as a full Game 5, because a series that ends earlier, is canceled, or is otherwise not completed resolves to 50-50 under the market rules. If the game ends in an unusual way such as surrender or remake, the exact dragon counts before stoppage determine the outcome, and Elder Dragon kills should be ignored for resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $0.2 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 5. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Cloud9 and LYON each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 5. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 5. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 5 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 5 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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