esports
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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a narrow in-game question from a League of Legends series: in Game 4, will both Deep Cross Gaming and GAM Esports secure Baron Nashor at least once? Baron is one of the most important late-game objectives in League, so this is really a check on how long the game lasts and whether both sides get enough control to take it during the map.
The event is specifically Game 4 of the Deep Cross Gaming vs. GAM Esports match, with resolution tied to whether each team slays Baron Nashor during that game. Under the rules, a remade Game 4 counts only the remade version, and if the game is never played, is canceled, or is no longer needed because the series ends early, the market resolves to 50-50 rather than Yes or No. The official source named for resolution is gol.gg, so the final game record is what matters most.
Baron Nashor usually appears only after teams have already fought through the early and mid game, so this market is really about pacing, map control, and whether the game stays close enough for both teams to claim the objective. A one-sided stomp often leaves only one team with Baron access, while a long back-and-forth game can create opportunities for both sides to take it at different points. That is the disagreement the market is pricing: whether Game 4 develops into a trading, late-game objective battle or closes out before both teams ever get that chance.
Anything that changes the expected length or competitiveness of Game 4 can move this market. Draft and roster choices matter because some compositions are built to force fights and control objectives, while others aim to snowball quickly or end before Baron even becomes relevant at 20 minutes. In-play developments such as early gold leads, repeated team-fight wins, or one team controlling vision around the pit can all affect whether both teams are likely to take Baron at least once.
Related markets
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market settles, readers should verify that Game 4 was actually played and completed, since several rule-based outcomes fall back to 50-50 if the game is canceled, unnecessary, or otherwise not finished. The key source of truth is the official match record on gol.gg, especially if there is any remake, surrender, or unusual stoppage. It is also worth checking the final game timeline carefully, because the question is not whether Baron was taken overall, but whether both Deep Cross Gaming and GAM Esports each secured it at least once during that specific game.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
0%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 4. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Deep Cross Gaming and GAM Esports each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 4. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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