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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $21.7 in 24h volume, and $251.4 in liquidity.
Probability
4%
24h Volume
$21.7
Liquidity
$251.4
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: will any player on either side secure a Penta Kill in Game 1? Because a Penta Kill requires one player to finish off all five enemy champions in a short sequence, it is one of the rarest and most explosive moments in the game. That makes the outcome highly sensitive to how chaotic the opening game becomes, especially in a standard pro match where teams usually play carefully early on.
The event is limited to Game 1, not the full match or series. A "Yes" resolves if any player on either team gets a Penta Kill during that first game; a "No" resolves if Game 1 ends without one. If the game is remade, only the remade version counts, and if the game is canceled, never played, or effectively voided under the market rules, it resolves 50-50 instead.
Penta Kills are uncommon in organized League of Legends because teams often prioritize controlled engages, disciplined positioning, and avoiding extended fights that let one player chain multiple kills. Even so, certain drafts, snowballing lanes, or messy late-game teamfights can create exactly the kind of multi-kill opportunity that makes this market interesting. The market is pricing the chance that Game 1 turns into one of those high-variance, fight-heavy games rather than a cleaner, lower-scoring contest.
Anything that suggests a more aggressive or unstable Game 1 can make a Penta Kill more plausible, such as hard-engage team compositions, burst-heavy carries, or teams known for forcing skirmishes around early objectives. By contrast, if the game looks likely to be slow, one-sided, or decided by clean macro play rather than repeated teamfights, the chance of a Penta Kill usually looks lower. Since this market resolves only on Game 1, champion select, early tempo, and whether the match stays close enough for late-game fights matter more than anything that happens later in the series.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 4% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The main source of truth is the official result feed at gol.gg, with credible reporting or video evidence used only if final results are not posted within the stated window. Readers should verify that Game 1 was actually completed, because a surrender, remade game, forfeit, walkover, or cancellation changes resolution under the market rules. The deadline on the page is 2026-06-06T12:00:00Z, so the key question is whether the official Game 1 record shows any Penta Kill before or during the final version of that first map.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $21.7 in 24h volume, and $251.4 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
4.1%
No
96%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Penta Kill. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Penta Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Penta Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 4%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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