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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $162 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$162
This market asks a narrow but very specific League of Legends question: will Game 1 feature at least one Quadra Kill? A Quadra Kill means one player secures four kills in quick succession, which usually happens in a big late-fight swing or a lopsided cleanup. Because it is tied to a single map rather than the whole match, the result can turn on one hectic team fight or the lack of one.
The outcome is decided by whether any player on either side records a Quadra Kill during Game 1. The rules also say that a Penta Kill counts as a Quadra Kill for this market, so either five kills or a four-kill streak will resolve it to Yes. If Game 1 is remade, only the remade version counts; if the game is canceled, never played, or delayed beyond seven days, the market goes to 50-50 instead of Yes or No.
Quadra Kills are uncommon enough that a single game can easily end with none at all, but they are common enough in high-action esports drafts and team fights to create real uncertainty. In League of Legends, the chance of a Quadra Kill depends on pace, kill count, team-fight frequency, and whether one carry gets fed enough to clean up multiple opponents. That is why this market can sit close to even heading into Game 1: a quiet, controlled map may produce no four-kill streak, while a chaotic fight-heavy game can produce one quickly.
Anything that suggests a scrappy, high-kill Game 1 can push this market toward Yes, especially aggressive lane matchups, early skirmishing, or team compositions built around burst damage and cleanup potential. A slow, objective-first draft with low expected fight frequency generally makes No more plausible, because there are fewer chances for one player to chain four kills in a single sequence. If the game becomes lopsided and one team’s carry gets very ahead, that can also raise the odds of a Quadra Kill, since cleanup situations are where these streaks most often happen.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key source of truth is the official result record on gol.gg, which the market uses for resolution after the game finishes. Before resolution, readers should verify that Game 1 is actually played, completed, and not changed by a remake, forfeit, walkover, or late schedule change, since those situations can force a 50-50 outcome under the rules. The deadline shown on the page is 2026-06-06 12:00 UTC, so the most important ambiguity to check is whether the map was completed normally and whether any Quadra Kill or Penta Kill occurred before stoppage, if the game did not finish cleanly.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $162 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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