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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: in Game 1 between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION, will both teams secure Baron Nashor at least once? Because Baron is one of the biggest swing objectives in the game, the answer often reflects whether the early and midgame stayed close enough for both sides to contest it.
The title names the first game of the Dplus KIA vs. HANJIN BRION series, and the outcome is limited strictly to Game 1. Baron Nashor first appears at 20:00 game time and can be taken more than once if a team kills it and the buff later expires and respawns; for this market, both Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION must each slay Baron at least once during that single game for a "Yes". If either side never takes Baron, or if Game 1 is not completed under the stated rules, the market does not resolve to Yes.
This is an event-specific esports market because Baron control is a meaningful marker of how a League of Legends game unfolds. A one-sided stomp may end before both teams ever reach a Baron trade, while a longer, contested game can create multiple chances for both sides to take the objective; that uncertainty is what the market is measuring. The interest here is not just who wins the match, but whether Game 1 develops into a back-and-forth enough to produce Baron captures on both sides.
The biggest drivers are draft and game flow: scaling team compositions, strong engage, and low early-pressure lane setups can lead to slower games where Baron becomes a realistic objective for both teams. By contrast, a fast snowball, an early surrender, or a one-sided control game can keep one side from ever reaching or contesting Baron, pushing the market toward No. Because the market is only about Game 1, any roster change, pause, remake, or unusual series situation that affects whether the first map is actually played matters directly to resolution.
Related markets
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key items to verify are that Game 1 is actually played to completion and that official post-game data records Baron kills for both teams. The market says it resolves from official information on gol.gg, so that source is the main thing to check if there is any ambiguity about a remake, surrender, or incomplete game. Readers should also note the special rules: if the match is canceled, delayed more than 7 days, never played, or Game 1 is skipped because the series is already decided, the market resolves 50-50 rather than Yes or No.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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