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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 82%, $2.4 in 24h volume, and $313.3 in liquidity.
Probability
82%
24h Volume
$2.4
Liquidity
$313.3
This market asks a very specific in-game question from Game 1 of a League of Legends series: will both Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION each secure at least one elemental dragon? Dragons are a meaningful early- and mid-game objective because they shape team fighting, map control, and the pace of the match. The market is focused only on Game 1, so later games in the series do not matter.
The outcome depends on whether both Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. The dragons that count are the standard elemental dragons that spawn from 5:00 game time onward: Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud. Elder Dragon kills do not count, and the market resolves using only what happens in that first game; if the game is canceled, never played, or not played for specific reasons listed in the rules, it resolves 50-50.
There is room for uncertainty because early dragon control in League of Legends often swings based on draft, lane pressure, jungle paths, and how aggressively each side contests objectives. A game can still go many different ways: one team may snowball and take most dragons, or both teams may trade objectives and each secure at least one. That is the disagreement the market is capturing for this specific Game 1 between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION.
Any update that changes expectations for Game 1 pacing can move this market, especially roster changes, side selection, or draft tendencies that suggest one team will dominate early objective control. In League of Legends, a composition built for strong skirmishing around the dragon pit, or a style that often forces early contests, makes a two-team dragon result more plausible. By contrast, a one-sided game with little objective trading, an early surrender, or a match format issue that prevents Game 1 from being completed would push the outcome away from Yes or into the special 50-50 resolution cases described in the rules.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 82% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, readers should verify that Game 1 is actually played and completed, since cancellation, delay beyond seven days, forfeits, walkovers, and some unfinished-game scenarios all have special rules. The source of truth is the official game result and match record for this series, with dragon credit determined by the in-game objective history for Game 1. The key ambiguity to watch is whether the kill was an elemental dragon and whether each team received credit at least once before the game ended; Elder Dragon kills do not count under this market’s rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 82%, $2.4 in 24h volume, and $313.3 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
81.5%
No
18.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 1. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 82%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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