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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $51.5 in 24h volume, and $1.7K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$51.5
Liquidity
$1.7K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
99.6%
Change
+46.6%
High
99.6%
Low
46.5%
HANJIN BRION moved from 53% to 99.6% over the last 6 hours, trading between 46.5% and 99.6%.
HANJIN BRION price history from Polymarket CLOB.
25 points
This market asks a very specific question about the opening minutes of Game 1 between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Road to MSI: which side will draw first blood first. In League of Legends, first blood is the match’s first kill, so this is a fast-moving early-game event rather than a full-match winner market. Because it resolves off the opening game only, small draft and early-pathing choices can matter more here than overall team strength.
The event title points to the Round 1 match between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION, scheduled for June 6 at 4:00AM ET, and the market resolves on the team that gets first blood in Game 1. If Game 1 is never completed, if the match is canceled or delayed beyond seven days, or if the game is a no-contest type result, the market falls back to 50-50 under the stated rules. The official source of truth is listed as gol.gg esports results, with credible reporting or video evidence only used if final results are not posted promptly.
First blood is one of the clearest early signs of how a League of Legends game is unfolding, but it is still highly volatile and can hinge on a single lane trade, jungle route, or level-one setup. In a matchup like Dplus KIA versus HANJIN BRION, readers may care because both the team draft and the first few minutes can shape the rest of the map, yet the very first kill is still easy to swing either way. The market is essentially pricing disagreement about which team is more likely to control the early game in Game 1, not which team will win the series.
Any pre-game information that changes expectations around early aggression can move this market, especially starting lineups, role swaps, or last-minute substitution news if those are relevant to the match. Draft details matter a lot here: champions that enable level-one pressure, strong jungle skirmishing, or hard-engage lanes can make one side look better for first blood. Because the market is limited to Game 1, map one draft and the teams’ early-game tendencies are more important than what happens later in the series.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this market resolves, check whether Game 1 is actually played and completed, since the rules give special treatment to cancellations, delays, remakes, and forfeits. The key source is the official result record on gol.gg, so readers should verify that the posted Game 1 result matches the first blood event and that no remake or stoppage changes how the rule applies. If first blood never happens in the completed game, or if the match never reaches a valid completion, the outcome may resolve to 50-50 rather than either team.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $51.5 in 24h volume, and $1.7K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Dplus KIA
0.5%
HANJIN BRION
99.6%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Round 1 match between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Road to MSI, initially scheduled for June 6 at 4:00AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 1 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

+0.4%
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$3.2K
Spread
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$4K
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$1K
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Spread
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$295.8
Liquidity
$2.3K
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+5.5%
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$232.7
Liquidity
$3K
Spread
1%
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