esports
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
2%
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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 73%, and $1.5K in liquidity.
Probability
73%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$1.5K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
72.5%
Change
+22.5%
High
73.5%
Low
40.5%
Over moved from 50% to 72.5% over the last week, trading between 40.5% and 73.5%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
9 points
This market asks a simple but very specific question: will Game 1 between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Road to MSI finish with at least 26 total kills, or stay at 25 or fewer? Because the line is set right around a typical high-action threshold for League of Legends, even small differences in pace, drafting, or early kills can change the outcome. The match is scheduled for June 6 at 4:00 AM ET, and the result for this market depends only on Game 1, not the series as a whole.
The event is the Lower bracket round 1 match in the LCK Road to MSI, featuring Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION. The market is not about who wins the match; it is only about the combined kill total in the opening game, with "Over" meaning 26 or more kills and "Under" meaning 25 or fewer. If Game 1 is remade, the remade version is the one that counts, while canceled, forfeited, walked-over, or incomplete games resolve 50-50 under the market rules.
A kills total market like this stays uncertain because League of Legends games can swing from slow, controlled map play to chaotic team fights very quickly. Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION can approach a game in different ways depending on draft, lane pressure, and whether one side gets an early lead that forces fights. That creates a real disagreement over whether Game 1 will be decided by measured objective trading or by enough skirmishes and team fights to push the total past 25.5.
Pre-match roster news, substitute changes, or last-minute confirmation of the starting lineup can matter because they may affect coordination and game pace. Draft-related signals also matter: aggressive early-game champions, dive setups, or compositions built for constant fighting can point toward a higher kill total, while scaling or disengage-heavy drafts can point the other way. In a best-of series setting, the importance of the match itself can also influence how cautiously the teams play, since lower-bracket elimination pressure sometimes leads teams to fight more or, in some cases, to tighten up around objectives.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 73% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key things to verify are the official match start, whether Game 1 is actually completed, and the final kill count for that specific game. The market’s resolution source is gol.gg, with credible reporting or video evidence only used if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. Readers should also watch for remakes, since a remake replaces the original Game 1 for settlement, and for any delay beyond seven days or non-played scenarios, which all resolve 50-50 under the stated rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 73%, and $1.5K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
72.5%
Under
27.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Lower bracket round 1 match between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Road to MSI, initially scheduled for June 6 at 4:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 26 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 73%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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