esports
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
2%
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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $13.1 in 24h volume.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$13.1
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
99.5%
Change
+56.5%
High
99.5%
Low
43%
Under moved from 43% to 99.5% over the last 6 hours, trading between 43% and 99.5%.
Under price history from Polymarket CLOB.
25 points
This market asks whether Game 1 of Dplus KIA vs. HANJIN BRION in the LCK Road to MSI will finish with 31 total kills or more. It is a clean way to track how bloody or controlled the opening game looks in a best-of-series setting, where draft, pace, and early mistakes can quickly swing the kill count.
The event is the Round 1 match between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION, scheduled for June 6 at 4:00AM ET in the LCK Road to MSI. The only thing that matters here is Game 1: if the completed first game has 31 or more total kills, the market resolves to Over; if it has 30 or fewer, it resolves to Under. If the match is not played, is delayed beyond seven days, ends in a forfeit or walkover, or Game 1 starts but does not finish, the market resolves 50-50 under the stated rules.
A total-kills line like 30.5 is sensitive to how teams approach the first game of a high-stakes series. Some LCK games are methodical and low-scoring, while others break open through early skirmishes, repeated objective fights, or messy teamfights, so there is genuine uncertainty about whether the opener stays controlled or turns chaotic. The market is pricing that disagreement specifically for Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION in this Road to MSI matchup.
The biggest drivers are the draft and the early tempo of Game 1. Champions that force fighting, repeated dives, or fast objective contests can push kills higher, while scaling compositions, strong disengage, or cautious lane phases usually point toward fewer kills. Anything that changes the expected pace of the series opener—such as an unusually aggressive opening, a one-sided snowball, or a remake that changes the counted game—can move expectations around the total.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketReaders should watch for the official Game 1 result, because the market settles on the kills in that game only, not the full match. The rules also make the source of truth important: official results on gol.gg are the primary resolution source, with credible reporting or video evidence only if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. It is also worth checking the status of the match itself, since cancellation, a delay past seven days, or an unfinished/forfeited Game 1 would force a 50-50 resolution rather than Over or Under.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $13.1 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
50%
Under
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Round 1 match between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Road to MSI, initially scheduled for June 6 at 4:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 31 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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