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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 2?. The market currently shows a live probability of 35%, and $165.8 in liquidity.
Probability
35%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$165.8
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
34.5%
Change
-16.5%
High
59.5%
Low
34.5%
Dplus KIA moved from 51% to 34.5% over the last month, trading between 34.5% and 59.5%.
Dplus KIA price history from Polymarket CLOB.
23 points
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: which team will draw first blood in Game 2 of the Round 1 match between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Road to MSI. Because first blood is an early, momentum-shaping event, this is a narrower read on how Game 2 starts than the match winner itself.
The title and description point to the second game in the scheduled Dplus KIA vs. HANJIN BRION match, with the market resolving to the team that gets the first kill in that game. The match is listed for June 6 at 4:00 AM ET, and the official resolution source is gol.gg, with a backup to credible reporting or video evidence if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. If Game 2 is not played, is abandoned, or ends without first blood, the rules say the market goes to 50-50.
First blood markets can be uncertain even in one-sided-looking matchups because early laning, jungle pathing, and drafting choices can tilt the opening minutes in different directions. Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION are both established LCK names, so the question is not just who is favored overall, but which side will create the first kill window in this specific game. The live market is clearly leaning toward HANJIN BRION, but the outcome still depends on how the teams approach the draft and the first few minutes of play.
Anything that changes expectations for Game 2’s early game can move this market, especially draft changes, lane assignments, and whether one side shows a more aggressive opening plan in Game 1. Roster substitutions, coaching adjustments between games, or a very fast/very cautious style in the series can matter here because first blood often comes from early skirmishes around jungle routes, river control, or lane pressure. If Game 1 reveals which side is more willing to contest early objectives or trade aggressively, that can also shift how people read Game 2.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 35% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key things to verify are whether Game 2 is actually played, whether it finishes normally, and which team gets the first kill according to the official match record. Because the rules include special cases for cancellation, delay beyond seven days, remakes, forfeits, and unfinished games, those details matter more here than the final series score. Readers should treat gol.gg as the main source of truth and check the game log or broadcast evidence if the page has not been updated promptly after the match.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 2?. The market currently shows a live probability of 35%, and $165.8 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Dplus KIA
34.5%
HANJIN BRION
65.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Round 1 match between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Road to MSI, initially scheduled for June 6 at 4:00AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 2. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 2 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 35%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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