esports
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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 48%, and $145.7 in liquidity.
Probability
48%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$145.7
This market asks a very specific in-game question from Game 3 of a League of Legends series: will both Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION kill Baron Nashor at least once? Baron is one of the most important objectives in the game, so whether each side secures it can be a sign of a long, close, or highly contested match.
The event is tied to Game 3 of the series between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION, with resolution based only on that single game. Baron Nashor first appears at 20:00 game time and can be taken again six minutes after each death, so this market is really about whether both teams manage to claim at least one Baron during the same game. The market resolves to Yes only if both teams do so in Game 3; if either side never slays Baron, it resolves to No. If the game is canceled, delayed more than seven days, never played because the series ends early, or never reaches a completed Game 3 for reasons covered in the rules, the market can resolve to 50-50 instead.
This market has uncertainty because Baron control depends on how the game develops: pace, team fights, map state, and whether either side gets enough control around the 20-minute mark and later. In League of Legends, some games end before Baron is ever taken, while others feature repeated objective trades or comebacks that allow both teams to secure it. Readers who follow Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION will care because the answer depends on how competitive and extended Game 3 becomes, not just on who wins the match.
Anything that makes Game 3 look slower, closer, or more volatile can push expectations toward both teams taking Baron, while a one-sided stomp can make it less likely. Draft choices, especially compositions built for late-game team fights or scaling, can matter because they often lead to longer games and more Baron setups. Series context also matters: if the earlier games suggest evenly matched teams or repeated objective trading, that usually supports the chance that each side gets at least one Baron in the deciding game.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 48% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key source of truth in this market is the official result information on gol.gg, and the page’s rules control any edge cases. Before resolution, readers should verify that Game 3 was actually played, completed, and not voided by remake, forfeit, cancellation, or an early series ending that prevented the game from happening. Because the market is about both teams individually slaying Baron in the same game, it is not enough to check who won the match; the final game log or official match record needs to show at least one Baron takedown for each side.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 48%, and $145.7 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
48%
No
52%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 3. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 3. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 48%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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