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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $1.1 in 24h volume.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$1.1
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a narrow League of Legends question inside Game 3 of Dplus KIA vs. HANJIN BRION: did both teams secure at least one elemental dragon? That makes it a game-state market, not a series-winner market, so the key is whether each side gets onto the dragon ledger during that one map. Because dragon control often tracks lane priority, objective setup, and teamfight timing, this is one of the cleaner in-game benchmarks to watch in a close series.
The outcome is based only on Game 3 between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION. A “Yes” requires that Dplus KIA slay at least one elemental dragon and HANJIN BRION also slay at least one elemental dragon during that game; if either team misses out, the answer is “No.” Only elemental dragons count here — Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud — while Elder Dragon kills do not count toward resolution.
Dragon control is one of the most visible ways to measure which team is dictating the pace of a League of Legends game, but it is not guaranteed for either side. A fast stomp, an early surrender, or a one-sided objective game can leave one team without any dragon at all, while a longer, more contested game can easily produce multiple dragon trades. That uncertainty is what this market is pricing: whether both rosters will interact with the dragon pit at least once before Game 3 ends.
Anything that changes the shape of Game 3 can matter: draft priorities that favor early skirmishing, jungle paths that point toward early dragon setups, or a comp built to give up early objectives and fight later. A quick snowball, an early surrender, or a game where one side repeatedly trades across the map instead of contesting bot-side objectives would make it more likely that one team never secures a dragon. By contrast, a balanced midgame with repeated resets around dragon spawn times usually helps both teams get on the board.
Related markets
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important thing to verify is that Game 3 is actually played to a point where objective stats exist, because the rules treat some no-contest outcomes as 50-50. If the game ends unusually early, check whether the surrender happened after both teams had already taken at least one elemental dragon; if not, the market resolves to “No.” For a clean resolution, use the official match record or replay/stats feed for the game and remember that Elder Dragon kills do not count, even if the game reaches that stage.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $1.1 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 3. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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