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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 3?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $1.5 in 24h volume, and $106.9 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$1.5
Liquidity
$106.9
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
49.5%
Change
-0.5%
High
63%
Low
40.5%
Dplus KIA moved from 50% to 49.5% over the last week, trading between 40.5% and 63%.
Dplus KIA price history from Polymarket CLOB.
67 points
This market asks a very specific question about the LCK Road to MSI Round 1 match between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION: who will draw first blood in Game 3. Because it depends on one early in-game event rather than the final match result, the market is mainly about draft quality, early jungle pressure, and how the deciding map opens up.
The title refers to first blood in Game 3 of the Dplus KIA vs. HANJIN BRION series, scheduled for June 6 at 4:00AM ET. In League of Legends, first blood is awarded to the team that gets the first kill in the game, and this market resolves to whichever side gets that opening kill in Game 3. If Game 3 is not played, is delayed beyond seven days, ends in a remake, or finishes without any first blood, the rules spell out special 50-50 cases or fallback handling.
Even in a short series, the team that starts faster in lane or has stronger early-game coordination can change the first blood outcome independent of who ultimately wins the match. Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION are familiar LCK names, so this market lets readers focus on a narrow live-game moment rather than the full series score. The uncertainty comes from draft, early pathing, and how aggressively each team looks for the first fight or gank in the deciding game.
Anything that changes expectations for the opening minutes of Game 3 can move this market, especially draft composition, jungle matchup, and whether either side opts into early skirmish tools or safer scaling picks. If the series reaches a decisive third map, team tendencies in Game 1 and Game 2, plus any visible adjustments between games, become the main clues for who is more likely to strike first. Because the rules resolve on the first kill in Game 3 specifically, a remake, early stoppage, or a game that never produces a kill can matter just as much as the eventual winner of the map.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market settles, readers should verify that Game 3 is actually played and that the match is not postponed, canceled, or decided by forfeit, since those outcomes trigger the special resolution terms. The official source of truth is gol.gg/esports/home, with consensus reporting or video evidence only if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. It is also worth checking whether a remake occurred and whether first blood happened before the remake, because the rules treat that situation differently from a normal completed game.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 3?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $1.5 in 24h volume, and $106.9 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Dplus KIA
50%
HANJIN BRION
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Round 1 match between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Road to MSI, initially scheduled for June 6 at 4:00AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 3. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 3 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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