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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: will anyone get a Penta Kill in Game 4? A Penta Kill means one player secures all five enemy takedowns in a short sequence, which usually happens only in chaotic late-game fights or when one team is already running away with a teamfight. Because Game 4 only happens if the series reaches that point, the outcome also depends on the match actually getting that far.
The event is Game 4 of a League of Legends series, and the only thing that matters for this market is whether any player on either side records a Penta Kill during that game. If at least one Penta Kill happens, the market resolves to Yes; if none happen, it resolves to No. The listed deadline is June 6, 2026 at 14:00 UTC, and the rules also say that if Game 4 is never played because the series ends earlier, the market resolves 50-50.
Penta Kills are rare enough that even in high-level professional play they are far from routine, but they are still plausible in a long, fight-heavy game. That makes this a narrower question than simply asking whether a match will be high scoring or close: it is about one dramatic finishing moment that depends on champion picks, fight timing, and whether a carry can clean up multiple low-health enemies in sequence.
Draft and roster information matter because certain carry champions, reset-based assassins, and heavily teamfight-oriented compositions make multi-kill cleanups more likely. The series score also matters: if the matchup is likely to reach a tense Game 4, there is more opportunity for a late-game fight that could produce a Penta Kill. By contrast, one-sided games, early surrenders, or a series that ends before Game 4 would make this market settle away from a completed game result under the listed rules.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is whether Game 4 is actually played, because the market does not resolve on a match that ends before that game is needed. If Game 4 does happen, the official result source is gol.gg, and the rules say credible reporting or video evidence can be used if final results are not posted there within two hours after the event ends. Readers should also watch for remakes, surrender endings, or any unusual stoppage, since the market resolves from the remade game only and uses the actual in-game outcome up to the point play stops.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 4. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Penta Kill. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Penta Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Penta Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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