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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, and $46.7 in liquidity.
Probability
51%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$46.7
This market asks a very specific in-game question: will Game 4 of the League of Legends series feature at least one Quadra Kill? Because a single explosive team fight can swing a full game, this is the kind of event that often comes down to how decisive the late-game fights get, not just who wins the match. It is also sensitive to whether the series even reaches a fourth map, since the rules say the market goes 50-50 if Game 4 is never played.
The outcome is based on whether any player on either team gets a Quadra Kill during Game 4, meaning four enemy champions are killed in rapid succession by the same player. The rules also count a Penta Kill as satisfying this condition, so a five-kill streak still resolves to Yes. If the game is remade, only the remade version counts, and the resolution source is official information from gol.gg/esports/home, with a fallback if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends.
Quadra Kills are dramatic but not routine, so there is genuine uncertainty around whether this particular game will produce one. In League of Legends, the chance of a Quadra Kill depends on draft, team-fight style, objective control, and whether one carry gets enough cleanup opportunities in a single fight. The market is really pricing the difference between a controlled game where kills are spread around and a scrappy one where a single player can chain multiple takedowns quickly.
The biggest thing that can move this market is whether the series actually reaches Game 4, since a clinch before then would force a 50-50 resolution under the rules. Within the game itself, drafts that create heavy team-fight setups, reset-based carries, or very low-health cleanup scenarios can make a Quadra Kill more plausible, while slow macro games with fewer extended fights can cut against it. A remake, surrender finish, or any unusual stoppage matters too, because the market depends on what happens in the completed or remade version of Game 4.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 51% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, readers should check whether Game 4 is scheduled and actually played, since cancellation, delay beyond seven days, forfeit, walkover, or an early series finish all trigger the 50-50 rule. If the game does happen, the key question is simple: did any player record a Quadra Kill during that map, including a Penta Kill that automatically counts as one for this market. The official source of truth is gol.gg/esports/home, so the important thing to verify is the final Game 4 result there, especially if the match ends in an unusual way or the page updates late.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, and $46.7 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50.5%
No
49.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 4. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 51%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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