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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $24.8 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$24.8
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question about Game 4 between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION: did both teams manage to take Baron Nashor at least once? Baron is one of the game’s most important neutral objectives, so whether each side gets one usually depends on how long the game lasts, how evenly the match is played, and who controls the map around the mid and late game.
The outcome here is not about who wins the game, but whether Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION each secure Baron Nashor at least once during Game 4. Baron first appears at 20:00 in game time and can respawn six minutes after being killed, so this market is only likely to be relevant in a longer, contested game. The scheduled resolution date is June 6, 2026, and the market resolves from official match information on gol.gg unless the page does not publish final results, in which case the listed fallback rules apply.
There is real uncertainty because a game can end cleanly with one team never getting Baron, or turn into a back-and-forth where both sides eventually claim it. That makes this a more granular question than simply picking the winner: fans are pricing how chaotic or extended Game 4 might be, and whether both teams can reach the part of the match where Baron control matters. The market is also sensitive to series context, since if Game 4 is never needed, the rules call for a 50-50 resolution instead of a normal result.
Anything that changes expectations for game length or late-game stability can move this market. Drafts that suggest scaling teamfights, cautious macro, or evenly matched late-game compositions generally make a double-Baron game more plausible, while one-sided lane pressure, early snowball setups, or a quick stomp make it less likely that both teams ever take Baron. Because this is tied to a single map, roster changes, patch effects, and whether the series reaches Game 4 at all are especially important.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check that Game 4 is actually played, because a cancelled match, a forfeit, a walkover, a delay beyond seven days, or a series that ends before Game 4 is needed all trigger the special 50-50 rule. If the game is remade, only the remade version counts, and if it ends in a surrender, the key question becomes whether both teams had already slain Baron before the stoppage. The source of truth is the official result on gol.gg, so the main thing to verify is the completed Game 4 record rather than highlights, commentary, or unofficial stat pages.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $24.8 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 4. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 4. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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