Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 4?

What this market is about

The event is the fourth game of the series between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Road to MSI, with the match initially scheduled for June 6 at 4:00AM ET. The market resolves to Over if Game 4 ends with at least 26 total kills, and Under if it ends with 25 or fewer. If the match is not played, is delayed beyond 7 days, ends in a forfeit, or Game 4 is begun but not completed, the market is set to 50-50 instead.

Why the market exists

A single-game kill total is hard to pin down because it depends on draft priorities, early skirmishes, objective control, and whether the teams trade heavily or play more cautiously. In a lower-bracket series, the pressure of elimination can also affect how aggressively teams approach fights, so the same matchup can produce very different kill counts from one game to the next. The market is effectively pricing that uncertainty around whether Game 4 will be a slow, controlled game or a scrappier one with enough fights to clear 25.5 kills.

What can move the price

Anything that changes the expected pace of Game 4 can move this market, especially the first three games of the series if they show a clear trend toward high- or low-kill play. Draft patterns matter as well: snowball-heavy compositions, dive, and teamfight lineups can point toward more action, while scaling or objective-oriented drafts can keep the kill count lower. A reset, remake, or unusual game state would matter too, because the rules say the result is based only on the remade Game 4 if that happens.

How to read the current probability