esports
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
2%
--
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?. The market currently shows a live probability of 60%, and $66.5 in liquidity.
Probability
60%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$66.5
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
59.5%
Change
+8%
High
64.5%
Low
40.5%
Over moved from 51.5% to 59.5% over the last day, trading between 40.5% and 64.5%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
48 points
This market asks a very specific question about Game 4 in the LCK Road to MSI Round 1 match between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION: will the map finish with 28 or more total kills, or 27 and fewer? Because it is tied to one game inside one best-of series, the result depends on draft, pace, and whether the teams turn the map into a skirmish-heavy fight.
The event is the Round 1 matchup between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION, initially scheduled for June 6 at 4:00AM ET, and the market only cares about Game 4. The Over side wins if the completed Game 4 has at least 28 total kills across both teams; otherwise it resolves Under. If the match never reaches a completed Game 4, or if the broader match is canceled or delayed too long under the market rules, the page can resolve 50-50 instead.
A kills total like 27.5 is close enough that small differences in tempo, drafts, and early-game mistakes can swing the outcome. In League of Legends, some games stay controlled and low scoring, while others open up quickly through repeated fights, objective contests, and late-game throws, so there is genuine room for disagreement about which style this map will take. The live pricing reflects that uncertainty around whether Game 4 will become a relatively calm macro game or a high-action brawl.
Anything that suggests a faster or slower Game 4 can move this market, especially if the series state makes the map feel like a must-win for one side. Draft choices that favor early fighting, dive, or volatile team comps tend to support the Over, while safer scaling lineups, heavy waveclear, or cautious objective setups tend to lean Under. Because this is only about one map, a remade game, a forfeit, or a match that ends before Game 4 would matter more here than a typical full-series result.
The current market price implies roughly a 60% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
--
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe most important thing to verify is whether Game 4 is actually played to completion, since the rules treat remakes, unfinished games, walkovers, and major delays differently from a normal result. The resolution source is official match data on gol.gg, with credible reporting or video evidence only if final results are still missing after the stated window. Readers should also confirm the exact map being counted is the remade Game 4 only if a remake happens, because that changes which kill total settles the market.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?. The market currently shows a live probability of 60%, and $66.5 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
59.5%
Under
40.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Round 1 match between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Road to MSI, initially scheduled for June 6 at 4:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 4. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 4 is 28 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 60%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
$537.5K
Liquidity
$3.4K
Spread
3%
12/31/2026
View market--
24h Vol
$119.2K
Liquidity
$4.2K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market+2.5%
24h Vol
$289.5
Liquidity
$2.4K
Spread
4%
12/31/2026
View market
+5.5%
24h Vol
$259.4
Liquidity
$3.1K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market-1.3%
24h Vol
$228.8
Liquidity
$3.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market