esports
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2%
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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 4 Winner. The market currently shows a live probability of 60%, $142.5 in 24h volume, and $18.1K in liquidity.
Probability
60%
24h Volume
$142.5
Liquidity
$18.1K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
59.5%
Change
+9%
High
67%
Low
50%
Dplus KIA moved from 50.5% to 59.5% over the last month, trading between 50% and 67%.
Dplus KIA price history from Polymarket CLOB.
24 points
This market is asking who will win Game 4 in the League of Legends match between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Road to MSI. Because the market is tied to a single game rather than the full match, it depends on the result of that specific map and not on the series overall.
The title names two Korean League of Legends teams, Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION, and the question is limited to Game 4 of their Round 1 match in the LCK Road to MSI. The market description says the match was initially scheduled for June 6 at 4:00AM ET, and the outcome will be decided by the winner of Game 4 if that game is completed.
A best-of series can swing from game to game, especially in esports where draft, side selection, and momentum can change quickly. Even if one team looks stronger on paper, the result for a single game can still be uncertain because lineups, champion picks, and in-series adjustments matter so much in League of Legends.
The biggest price moves usually come from the live state of the series: who is winning the earlier games, whether the series reaches Game 4, and how the teams look in draft and execution as the match unfolds. Any roster or substitute change, a delayed or abandoned game, or an official result that clarifies the completed scoreline can also shift expectations sharply.
The current market price implies roughly a 60% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this market resolves, readers should check whether Game 4 is actually completed, since the rules say an unfinished Game 4 leads to a 50-50 resolution. The stated source of truth is official information from gol.gg, with credible reporting or video evidence only if final results are not published within two hours after the event ends. It is also important to note the separate fallback rules for a canceled match or a match delayed more than seven days without play starting, because those cases also resolve 50-50.
Related markets
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketTrack live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 4 Winner. The market currently shows a live probability of 60%, $142.5 in 24h volume, and $18.1K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Dplus KIA
59.5%
HANJIN BRION
40.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Road to MSI, initially scheduled for June 6 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 4 against HANJIN BRION. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 4 against Dplus KIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 60%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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