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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $0.7 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0.7
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: if Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION play a deciding Game 5, will each side take Baron Nashor at least once? Baron is often a sign of a long, back-and-forth game because teams usually need control of the map and enough strength to contest it safely. That makes this a useful market to watch when the series is expected to be close and competitive.
The event is the fifth game in a best-of series between Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION. Resolution depends only on Game 5: if both teams slay Baron Nashor at least once during that game, the market resolves to Yes; if either team never does, it resolves to No. The market also has fallback rules for cancellations, delays, forfeits, walkovers, remakes, and incomplete games, with official match information from gol.gg as the source of truth.
Baron Nashor is one of the clearest swing objectives in League of Legends, and not every game reaches it for both teams. Some matches end too quickly, one team can dominate every major objective, or the losing side may never get a clean chance to secure Baron. This market is really pricing the difference between a drawn-out Game 5 with repeated objective contests and a game that ends before both teams can ever claim Baron at least once.
Anything that changes how likely Game 5 is to be long and contested can move this market. Drafts that favor scaling, wave-clear, strong late-game team fighting, or stalemate-heavy map play usually make double-Baron more plausible, while early-game snowball compositions can reduce the chance that both teams ever reach a Baron take. Because this is specifically about a deciding game, roster changes, side selection, patch context, and whether either team tends to force objectives or close quickly are the most relevant competitive factors.
Related markets
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, check that Game 5 is actually played and completed, because several fallback rules send canceled or unnecessary games to 50-50. The key source is the official result record on gol.gg, which should show whether both Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION secured Baron at least once in the remade or completed Game 5. A reader should also watch for whether the game ends by surrender or another early stop, since the market’s rule says the outcome depends on whether both teams had already taken Baron before the stoppage.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $0.7 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 5. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 5. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 5. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 5 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 5 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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