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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: if Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION reach a Game 5, will both sides manage to take at least one elemental dragon before the game ends? Dragons are one of the clearest early-to-mid objectives in LoL, so this is a narrow but meaningful in-game stat to watch in a decisive map.
The outcome is tied only to Game 5 of this series and only to elemental dragons, not Elder Dragons. It resolves Yes if Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION each secure at least one elemental dragon during that game; it resolves No if either team fails to do so. The market also has special fallback rules: if Game 5 is never played because the series ends earlier, or the match is canceled, delayed too long, forfeited, or a walkover, it resolves 50-50.
Dragon control is often shaped by lane priority, teamfight strength, and how willing each team is to contest early objectives. In a winner-take-all Game 5, teams can play more cautiously or, depending on draft and game state, prioritize securing at least one dragon even if they do not contest every objective. That makes the result uncertain enough for the market to track, especially in a final game where both teams may have strong incentive to fight around the pit.
Anything that changes how Game 5 is likely to be played can move this market: a series score that gets to 2-2, draft choices that favor early skirmishes or strong objective setup, or roster/substitution changes that affect teamfighting and map control. In-game, the first few dragon fights matter most, because once one team starts stacking dragons the other side may be forced into riskier contests or abandon the objective entirely. If the game becomes very one-sided, the trailing team may never secure a dragon, which pushes the answer toward No.
Related markets
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is whether Game 5 is actually played and completed under the market rules, since an unplayed or canceled decider resolves 50-50. If the game starts normally, the source of truth is the official match record or reliable game log for whether each team claimed at least one elemental dragon before the game ended. Readers should also note that Elder Dragons do not count here, so the dragon type and the timing of each objective matter for resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 5. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Dplus KIA and HANJIN BRION each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 5. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 5. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 5 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 5 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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