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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs FlyQuest (+2.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $135 in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$135
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.1%
Change
-49.9%
High
50%
Low
0.1%
Team Liquid moved from 50% to 0.1% over the last day, trading between 0.1% and 50%.
Team Liquid price history from Polymarket CLOB.
11 points
This market is about the lower-bracket semifinal in the LCS Playoffs between Team Liquid and FlyQuest, with the handicap set at 2.5 games. In plain terms, it asks whether Team Liquid will win by a wide enough margin in the match format for the handicap to land on its side, or whether FlyQuest will stay within that spread. The scheduled start time matters because the market is tied to that specific playoff match and its official result.
The title refers to a League of Legends playoff series: FlyQuest vs. Team Liquid in the LCS Lower Bracket Semifinal, scheduled for June 6 at 4:00 PM ET. Because the handicap is Team Liquid (-2.5) versus FlyQuest (+2.5), Team Liquid must win by at least three games for the market to resolve to Team Liquid; any smaller margin, including a FlyQuest series win, resolves to FlyQuest. The description also makes clear that this is resolved from the completed match result, not from map-by-map performance outside the series.
A handicap market like this reflects uncertainty about both the match winner and the final game differential. In playoff League of Legends, a team can be favored overall but still fail to clear a large spread if the series is close, so the market is really asking whether Team Liquid can produce a convincing win rather than just advance. FlyQuest’s side is reinforced by the fact that any result short of a Team Liquid win by three games lands on FlyQuest.
The biggest drivers are roster availability, draft strategy, and any evidence that one team has a clear edge in the current patch or playoff meta. Because the market is specifically about a multi-game series, a change in expected series length matters a lot: confidence in a 3-0 or 3-1 Team Liquid win would push toward Team Liquid, while expectations of a tighter 3-2 result or a FlyQuest upset would favor FlyQuest. Any official update on the match format, forfeits, or a schedule change could also matter because the rules treat completed matches, walkovers, and cancellations differently.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify that the series is actually played and completed, since a cancellation, tie, or a delay beyond seven days can trigger a 50-50 resolution. The official source named in the rules is gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting only used if final results are not posted there within two hours after the match ends. It is also worth checking whether any game was decided by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, because the rules say those games count toward the handicap as long as the match is completed.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs FlyQuest (+2.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $135 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Team Liquid
0%
FlyQuest
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between FlyQuest and Team Liquid in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid wins 3 or more games than FlyQuest in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FlyQuest". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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