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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $5 in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: will Game 1 produce a Quadra Kill, meaning one player secures four kills in quick succession? It is the kind of highlight that usually comes from a messy team fight, a late-game cleanup, or a carry finding the final four takedowns in a single sequence.
The title points to Game 1 of a League of Legends match, and the URL suggests the matchup is FlyQuest versus Team Liquid. The outcome is simple: if any player on either side gets a Quadra Kill during Game 1, the market resolves Yes; if nobody does, it resolves No. A Penta Kill also counts, and the rules say a remade game is judged only on the remade version.
Quadra Kills are uncommon enough that even in professional League of Legends they are not guaranteed in every game, especially if teams play slowly or close out fights cleanly before one player can stack multiple kills. This market captures uncertainty around how bloody the first game will be, whether one side has a dominant carry, and whether the match produces the kind of extended team fights that make multi-kill highlights possible.
Draft style is a major driver here: hyper-carry champions, strong dive compositions, or both teams picking fight-heavy lineups can increase the chance of a Quadra Kill, while safer control compositions usually lower it. Early kills, repeated skirmishes around objectives, and games that run long tend to create more chances for one player to chain together four takedowns. Because this is Game 1 only, any roster uncertainty, substitutions, or late draft changes before the opener matter more than the rest of the series.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketReaders should check that Game 1 is actually played and that the series is not decided before it begins, because the rules send canceled, forfeited, or unnecessary games to 50-50. The official resolution source is gol.gg/esports/home, so the key thing to verify is the final Game 1 result there if the broadcast is unclear. If the game ends in a surrender or remake, the rules say resolution depends on the completed remade game or on whether a Quadra Kill happened before stoppage.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $5 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
0%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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