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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $5 in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific in-game question from a League of Legends match: in Game 1, will both FlyQuest and Team Liquid each kill Baron Nashor at least once? Baron is one of the most important neutral objectives in LoL, so whether both teams secure it can say a lot about how back-and-forth the game becomes. The market is tied to a scheduled FlyQuest vs. Team Liquid series and resolves off the official Game 1 result.
The question is not who wins the game, but whether each side manages to slay Baron Nashor during Game 1. Baron first appears at 20:00 game time and gives the Hand of Baron buff to the team that secures it, which makes repeated Baron fights a marker of longer or more contested games. This market resolves to Yes only if FlyQuest and Team Liquid both take Baron at least once in Game 1; if either side never does, the answer is No.
There is room for uncertainty because Baron control depends on how the map state develops: early leads, teamfights, vision control, and how long the game lasts all matter. Some games end cleanly before Baron is ever taken, while others turn into objective trading where both teams get a chance to secure it. The market is effectively pricing whether this particular Game 1 becomes a low-objective finish or a longer, more contested game with Baron taken on both sides.
The biggest factor is the shape of Game 1 itself: a fast stomp usually makes a double-Baron result unlikely, while a close game that reaches multiple late-game setups makes it much more plausible. Draft choices can matter too, especially compositions that scale, threaten sieges, or force repeated fights around the pit. If the game goes late enough for multiple Baron spawns and both teams are able to contest vision and objective setups, the chance of each side taking Baron rises.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Watch the official Game 1 result and, if needed, the game timeline on the stated source of truth, gol.gg, because this market is resolved from official match information. The key details are whether Game 1 is actually played, whether it is remade, and whether either team secured Baron before a surrender or early stoppage. The deadline shown on the page is 2026-06-07T02:00:00Z, and the rules also specify 50-50 treatment if the match is canceled, delayed too long, or never played for reasons such as forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or the series ending before Game 1 is needed.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $5 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
0%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both FlyQuest and Team Liquid each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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