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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $6.1 in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$6.1
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific question about the opening game of FlyQuest vs. Team Liquid in League of Legends: will both teams manage to take at least one elemental dragon in Game 1? Because dragon control is often tied to map pressure, team fighting, and objective setup, this is a useful snapshot of how the early game may unfold between these two squads.
The event is Game 1 of a FlyQuest versus Team Liquid series, and the outcome depends only on elemental dragon kills in that single game. A "Yes" means FlyQuest and Team Liquid each secure at least one elemental dragon during Game 1; a "No" means at least one of the teams finishes the game with zero elemental dragon kills. The market ignores Elder Dragons for resolution, and it resolves using only the first game, not the full series.
Dragon control is one of the clearest public markers of how a League of Legends game is being played: a team that contests dragons usually has vision, river priority, and a plan for midgame fights. That creates a simple but meaningful question for this matchup—can both teams get on the board at least once, or will one side control the objective game too heavily? The uncertainty comes from draft, matchup style, and whether the game turns into a slow setup around objectives or a lopsided map state.
Anything that changes the expected shape of Game 1 can move this market, especially draft choices that favor early skirmishes, strong disengage, or heavy scaling around dragon fights. A lineup built to play through bot lane or river control can make "both teams slay a dragon" more plausible, while a one-sided early snowball, an objective trade pattern that leaves one team dragonless, or a short game with limited dragon spawns can push it the other way. Because the market is only about Game 1, attention should stay on the opening map and not the series score.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key source of truth is the official Game 1 result and in-game objective record: who killed each elemental dragon before the game ended. Readers should verify that Game 1 is actually played, since the rules send canceled matches, delayed matches beyond seven days, forfeits, walkovers, or games skipped because the series is already decided to 50-50. Also note the edge cases: if the game ends early, resolution depends on whether both teams had already taken at least one elemental dragon before the stoppage, and Elder Dragons do not count toward this market.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $6.1 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
100%
No
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both FlyQuest and Team Liquid each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 1. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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