esports
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
2%
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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $5 in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
99.5%
Change
+56.5%
High
99.5%
Low
41%
Over moved from 43% to 99.5% over the last 6 hours, trading between 41% and 99.5%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
16 points
This market asks a simple but very specific question: will Game 1 of the LCS Playoffs lower-bracket semifinal between FlyQuest and Team Liquid finish with at least 28 total kills? Because it is tied to one map in a playoff series, the result depends as much on draft, pace, and early fights as on which team wins. The live price is already strongly tilted toward Over, so readers should pay close attention to the actual Game 1 draft and how aggressively both teams play once the match starts.
The event is the Lower bracket semifinal in the LCS Playoffs, scheduled for June 6 at 4:00 PM ET, with FlyQuest facing Team Liquid. The market only cares about Game 1, not the full series: if that first game ends with 28 kills or more across both teams, it resolves to Over; 27 or fewer resolves to Under. If the match is not played, is pushed beyond seven days, or Game 1 is never completed, the market is set to 50-50 under the stated rules.
Kill totals in League of Legends can swing sharply based on champion picks, lane matchups, objective pressure, and whether teams are willing to force fights early. FlyQuest and Team Liquid are established LCS organizations, so a playoff meeting between them can reasonably produce a wide range of game states, from controlled macro games to brawly, high-kill maps. The market is pricing disagreement over whether this specific Game 1 will be slow and tactical or messy and fight-heavy.
The biggest things that can move this market are draft and game style: early-game skirmish champions, engage supports, and high-tempo jungle picks tend to raise kill expectations, while scaling drafts and low-variance setups can push the total down. If either team shows a strong tendency to fight around every objective in the opening minutes, the Over becomes more plausible; if Game 1 starts with cautious lane states and low action, the Under gains support. Any official delay, cancellation, or unusual series change also matters because the rules send those cases to 50-50 rather than a normal game result.
Related markets
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should confirm that the match actually starts on schedule, because the market has explicit 50-50 rules for postponement, cancellation, forfeit, or an uncompleted Game 1. The source of truth is the official result record on gol.gg, with consensus reporting only used if final results are still missing two hours after the match ends. The key ambiguity to watch is whether there is a remade game, since the market resolves using the remade Game 1 only, not the original attempt.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $5 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
100%
Under
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Lower bracket semifinal match between FlyQuest and Team Liquid in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 4:00PM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 28 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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