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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 2?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $30 in 24h volume, and $784.6 in liquidity.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$30
Liquidity
$784.6
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
99.5%
Change
+59%
High
99.5%
Low
29.5%
FlyQuest moved from 40.5% to 99.5% over the last 6 hours, trading between 29.5% and 99.5%.
FlyQuest price history from Polymarket CLOB.
25 points
This market asks which team will draw first blood in Game 2 of the Lower Bracket semifinal between FlyQuest and Team Liquid in the LCS Playoffs. Because it focuses on a single early-game event inside one map, it is less about who wins the match overall and more about which side starts the second game with the first kill and early tempo.
The matchup is FlyQuest vs. Team Liquid in the LCS Playoffs, with Game 2 specifically in view. The question resolves to the team that secures first blood in that game, using the official match record on gol.gg as the primary source; if that source is not available within two hours after the event ends, credible reporting and video evidence can be used instead. The market also has clear fallback rules for unusual cases such as a cancellation, a delay of more than seven days, a forfeit, a remake, or a game that ends without any first blood, in which case it resolves 50-50.
First blood is a small but meaningful early signal in League of Legends, especially in a playoff match where the teams are playing under elimination pressure and every lane setup or jungle path can matter. FlyQuest and Team Liquid are familiar LCS names, so readers may care not just about the series result but about which team tends to strike first in a high-stakes map. The market is pricing disagreement over early-game execution, draft priorities, and whether one team can force the first decisive skirmish in Game 2.
Anything that changes expectations for the Game 2 opening can move this market: draft choices that suggest early jungle pressure, lane matchups that favor aggressive trading, or a team’s prior willingness to invade, contest river vision, or fight for the first objective. Because the event is tied to a specific game rather than the full series, roster substitutions, coach-side adjustments between games, or a remake can matter more than in a broader match market. If the map gets delayed, canceled, or never reaches a normal first-blood moment, the resolution rules become the main driver instead of in-game action.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this market resolves, readers should confirm that Game 2 actually begins and finishes normally, since the payout rules change if the map is remade, abandoned, never played, or ends without a first blood. The key source of truth is gol.gg’s official match result page, with video or other credible evidence only serving as a backup if final results are not posted quickly enough. The deadline is tied to the scheduled June 6 start time, and the market’s special 50-50 outcomes for cancellation, long delay, or no first blood are important because they can override the in-game expectation entirely.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 2?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $30 in 24h volume, and $784.6 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
FlyQuest
99.5%
Team Liquid
0.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Lower bracket semifinal match between FlyQuest and Team Liquid in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 4:00PM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 2. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 2 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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