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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $44.6 in 24h volume, and $0.2 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$44.6
Liquidity
$0.2
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: will Game 3 feature a Penta Kill, meaning one player takes all five enemy champions in quick succession. Because a Penta Kill is a rare, high-variance highlight, this kind of market often stays tightly balanced until the game actually unfolds.
The event here is Game 3 of a League of Legends series, and the only thing that matters is whether any player on either team records a Penta Kill during that game. If it happens, the market resolves to Yes; if Game 3 ends with no Penta Kill, it resolves to No. The market also has clear fallback rules for a canceled, delayed, forfeited, or unnecessary Game 3, in which case it resolves 50-50 rather than forcing a normal outcome.
A Penta Kill is memorable but uncommon, and it depends on draft, teamfights, snowballing, and whether the game reaches the kind of chaotic late-game moments where five-man wipes are possible. That makes the market interesting because the outcome is tied less to who wins the series and more to the shape of a single map, especially if one side can build a lead or force repeated fights around major objectives.
Anything that changes how likely a messy, action-heavy Game 3 looks can move this market, including champion select, roster substitutions, and the overall pace of the series. If the teams draft scaling damage carries, reset champions, or compositions built for extended teamfights, a Penta Kill becomes more plausible than in a slow, control-oriented game. A one-sided stomp can also matter in either direction: it may create a cleanup opportunity for one player, or it may end too quickly for a pentakill to appear.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key things to verify are whether Game 3 is actually played, whether it is completed normally, and whether the official result source at gol.gg records a Penta Kill in that game. The market rules also specify special outcomes for delay beyond seven days, cancellation, forfeits, walkovers, or a series that ends before Game 3 is needed, so those scenarios matter just as much as the in-game action. If the game is remade, only the remade version counts, so the final official match record is the source of truth.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $44.6 in 24h volume, and $0.2 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50.1%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Penta Kill. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Penta Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Penta Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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