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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $0.1 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0.1
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: will anyone get a Quadra Kill in Game 3 of the series? It is narrowly focused on a single game, so the outcome depends on how that map plays out, not on the series as a whole. For viewers, it is the kind of event that can swing on one big team fight or late-game cleanup sequence.
A Quadra Kill in League of Legends means one player kills four enemy champions in rapid succession; a Penta Kill also counts for this market because it includes a Quadra Kill along the way. The market resolves Yes if any player on either side records one during Game 3, and No if the game finishes without one. The listed deadline is June 7, 2026 at 02:00 UTC, and the resolution source is official match information from gol.gg, with the fallback rule that if final results are not posted there within two hours after the event ends, the market can use an alternate verified source.
This market is about a moment that often depends on team composition, fight timing, and whether the game becomes messy enough for one player to chain multiple kills. In a controlled, low-kill game, a Quadra Kill may never happen; in a volatile late-game fight, it can appear very quickly. That uncertainty is what separates a routine map from one that creates a highlight-reel scoring run.
The biggest event-specific driver is whether Game 3 looks likely to be a high-action, late-game map with repeated five-on-five fights, since that gives one player more chances to rack up four quick kills. Draft choices that produce reset champions, strong area damage, or heavy engage can also raise the odds of a Quadra Kill, while slower scaling or low-snowball games can reduce them. A remade game is judged on the remade version only, and if the series never reaches Game 3 because one team clinches earlier, the market resolves to 50-50 under the stated rules.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify that Game 3 is actually played, since a cancellation, forfeit, walkover, or series result that ends the match before a third game pushes the market to 50-50. If the game ends in a surrender, the key question is whether a Quadra Kill happened before the stoppage; if not, the market resolves No. Before the deadline, the safest source of truth is gol.gg’s final match page, because the rules tie resolution to official match results and only fall back to another source if final data is not posted quickly enough.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $0.1 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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