esports
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
2%
--
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $5 in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific question about Game 3 of a League of Legends series between FlyQuest and Team Liquid: will both teams take Baron Nashor at least once? Because Baron is one of the most decisive neutral objectives in the game, this is a narrow but meaningful way to measure whether the game becomes long, contested, and swingy enough for both sides to claim it.
The event is the third game of a FlyQuest vs. Team Liquid match, and the outcome depends on whether each team secures Baron Nashor at least once during that game. Baron only appears later in the game, first spawning at 20:00 match time, so a "Yes" usually requires a slower, more back-and-forth game rather than a short stomp. The market resolves from official match information on gol.gg, and if Game 3 is never played, is canceled, or is not needed because the series ends earlier, the market goes to 50-50 instead.
There is real uncertainty because Baron control depends on game length, teamfighting, objective setups, and how cleanly either team can close out a lead. Even strong teams may never reach a second Baron fight if one side wins too quickly, while a messy late game can easily create multiple Baron attempts and steals. This market captures a very concrete in-game milestone that can swing with draft, tempo, and how evenly matched the teams look on the day.
The biggest price movers are changes that affect whether Game 3 is likely to become a long, objective-heavy contest: a side gaining an early lead, a faster snowball, or a clean closeout makes "No" more likely, while a close gold game, repeated teamfights, or stalled sieges make "Yes" more plausible. Draft choices that favor scaling, waveclear, or Baron setups can also matter because they often lead to longer games and more contests around the pit. If the series format or match situation changes so that Game 3 is no longer played, the market no longer settles on in-game action and instead follows the stated 50-50 rule.
Related markets
--
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, readers should verify that Game 3 is actually played and completed, since cancellation, forfeit, walkover, or a series that ends before Game 3 would all send this market to 50-50. The official source of truth is gol.gg, so the key thing to check is the final Game 3 result and whether both FlyQuest and Team Liquid are credited with at least one Baron Nashor kill. One ambiguity to keep in mind is remakes or an unfinished game: the rules say a remade game resolves using the remade version only, and a stopped game resolves based on whether both teams had already slain Baron before the stoppage.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $5 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
0%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 3. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both FlyQuest and Team Liquid each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 3. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
0%
24h Vol
$639.4K
Liquidity
$8.9K
Spread
2%
12/31/2026
View market+0.2%
24h Vol
$537.5K
Liquidity
$2.6K
Spread
3%
12/31/2026
View market--
24h Vol
$314.3K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market--
24h Vol
$254.7K
Liquidity
$10.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market--
24h Vol
$195.6K
Liquidity
$10.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market