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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 3?. The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, $5 in 24h volume, and $0.1 in liquidity.
Probability
51%
24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$0.1
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50.5%
Change
+3%
High
99.5%
Low
36%
FlyQuest moved from 47.5% to 50.5% over the last week, trading between 36% and 99.5%.
FlyQuest price history from Polymarket CLOB.
67 points
This market is about the opening kill in Game 3 of the LCS Playoffs lower-bracket semifinal between FlyQuest and Team Liquid. It matters because first blood is a crisp, early-game event that can swing momentum in a best-of series, especially when the match is likely to be closely watched and heavily scouted.
The question is simple: in Game 3 of FlyQuest vs. Team Liquid, which team gets first blood? The match is listed as a lower-bracket semifinal in the LCS Playoffs and was initially scheduled for June 6 at 4:00 PM ET, so the key thing to confirm is that Game 3 actually takes place and is the exact game being scored for this market. If Game 3 is completed with no first blood, or if the match is canceled, delayed beyond seven days, or decided by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, the market resolves to 50-50 under the rules provided.
First blood is a small but meaningful in-game event, and in esports it can reflect draft choices, early jungle pathing, lane pressure, or a team’s willingness to take risks. FlyQuest and Team Liquid are established North American League of Legends teams, so readers following the LCS Playoffs may care less about the final winner of the series here and more about which side sets the tone in the deciding map. The market is pricing disagreement over which team is more likely to strike first in that specific game, not over the series result itself.
Anything that changes the expected shape of Game 3 can move this market: draft priorities, lane matchups, early-game junglers, and whether one side looks more inclined to fight for vision or invade. Because the market is tied to a specific game, confirmation that the series has reached Game 3, plus any roster or substitution news before the match, can matter more than broader season reputation. If there is a remake, the rules also make it important to know whether first blood happened before the remake or only in the restarted game.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 51% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important source of truth is the official result information from gol.gg, which the rules name for resolution, with credible reporting or video evidence only if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. Before the market resolves, readers should verify that the matchup is still FlyQuest vs. Team Liquid, that Game 3 was actually played, and whether the game finished normally or was interrupted, remade, or canceled. The seven-day delay rule also matters: if the match slips too far from the scheduled date, the outcome changes to 50-50 regardless of who looked favored beforehand.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 3?. The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, $5 in 24h volume, and $0.1 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
FlyQuest
50.5%
Team Liquid
49.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Lower bracket semifinal match between FlyQuest and Team Liquid in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 4:00PM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 3. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 3 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 51%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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