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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $5 in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$0
This market is focused on a single in-game highlight from Game 4 of a League of Legends series: whether any player gets a Quadra Kill. It is a narrow event, but it can matter because it only resolves if Game 4 is actually played, so the map state, draft, and whether the series reaches a fourth game all matter here.
The question is straightforward: during Game 4, does any player on either team secure four kills in rapid succession? In League of Legends terms, a Quadra Kill is one player killing four enemy champions in a short sequence, and the market treats a Penta Kill as satisfying the condition as well. If Game 4 is not played, ends by forfeit or walkover, is canceled, or is delayed beyond seven days from the scheduled date, the market resolves to 50-50 instead of Yes or No.
Even in professional League of Legends, a Quadra Kill is a fairly dramatic and situational outcome. It depends on team fights, carry positioning, and whether one player is strong enough to clean up multiple low-health opponents at once, so there is real uncertainty around whether it will happen in a specific game. The market is essentially pricing how likely this particular fourth game is to feature one of those rare highlight moments.
Anything that changes the likelihood of extended team fights can matter here, especially the draft for Game 4 and whether either roster fields champions that can snowball into a multi-kill sequence. A series that looks scrappier, more all-in, or more likely to feature late-game fights generally gives a Quadra Kill more chances to appear, while slower or cleaner games can reduce that chance. The biggest non-gameplay factor is whether Game 4 is actually needed at all, since the market goes to 50-50 if the series ends before this map is played.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketBefore the market resolves, the key details are whether Game 4 starts, whether it is completed, and whether the official result is posted by the resolution source. The stated source is gol.gg, so readers should check the final game record there for the official outcome, and pay attention to the special rules for remakes, surrenders, and stoppages. One important ambiguity to watch is that this market does not require a Penta Kill specifically; any valid Quadra Kill during Game 4 is enough, and a Penta Kill counts too.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $5 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
0%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 4. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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