esports
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2%
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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $5 in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: in Game 4 between FlyQuest and Team Liquid, will each team secure Baron Nashor at least once? Because Baron is one of the most decisive objectives in the game, a single swing around the pit can determine whether a team can close out a map or claw back control.
The event is limited to Game 4 of the FlyQuest vs. Team Liquid series, with resolution based only on that one game. Baron Nashor first appears at 20:00 game time and respawns six minutes after being killed, so the market is tracking whether both sides manage to take it at least once before the game ends. If both FlyQuest and Team Liquid each slay Baron in that game, the answer is Yes; if either side fails to do so, the answer is No.
This market is about a concrete in-game swing condition, not just who wins the match. Teams can win without ever touching Baron, or the game can end before a second Baron fight matters, which is why there is real uncertainty around whether both sides will get a turn at the objective. The market is essentially pricing disagreement over how long Game 4 lasts, how contested the map becomes, and whether both teams find a Baron take.
Anything that changes the likely length and shape of Game 4 can move this market: early kills, decisive teamfights, or a fast snowball make a double-Baron game less likely, while a back-and-forth map with repeated objective setups makes it more likely. Draft choices, roster changes, and the way each team plays around late-game fights can matter a lot because Baron usually only enters the picture after teams have stabilized their lanes and started grouping. If the series structure means Game 4 is not actually needed, or if the game ends through surrender or an incomplete finish, the market’s special resolution rules become the key issue rather than the live objective count.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important thing to verify is whether Game 4 is officially played to completion, because the rules change if the game is canceled, delayed, forfeited, remade, or never needed due to the series result. Resolution is tied to official results from gol.gg, so the final game record there is the source to check if there is any dispute about who took Baron and whether the map completed normally. Readers should also note the stoppage rule: if the game ends early, the market resolves from whatever happened before the stop, and if both teams had not already slain Baron, the result is No.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $5 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
100%
No
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 4. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both FlyQuest and Team Liquid each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 4. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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