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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $34 in 24h volume.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$34
Liquidity
$0
This market asks whether the deciding fifth game in a League of Legends series will produce a Penta Kill. A Penta Kill is one of the biggest single-fight moments in the game: one player must secure all five enemy champion kills in quick succession. Because Game 5 only happens in a close best-of-five, the market is really watching for whether the final map turns into a chaotic, high-stakes finish.
The outcome is simple: if any player on either team gets a Penta Kill during Game 5, the market resolves to Yes; if not, it resolves to No. The title makes clear that this is tied specifically to Game 5, so the fifth map has to be played for there to be a normal Yes/No result. If the series ends before a fifth game is needed, or the match is not played for the reasons listed in the rules, the market resolves 50-50 instead.
Penta Kills are rare even in professional League of Legends, and they usually require the right combination of item builds, team fights, and late-game execution. A Game 5 can increase the chance of extended, decisive fights because both teams are under pressure and often play more carefully or more aggressively depending on the draft and series state. That is the uncertainty the market is pricing: whether the final map stays relatively controlled or produces the kind of late-teamfight cleanup that leads to a Penta Kill.
Anything that changes the likelihood of a long, teamfight-heavy Game 5 can matter here, especially draft choices, scaling compositions, and whether either side has champions that can quickly chain kills in fights. A remade game would only count for the remade version, and a game that ends before completion still counts based on whether a Penta Kill happened before the stoppage. If the series is decided before Game 5 is necessary, that pushes the market toward the special 50-50 settlement rather than a normal game outcome.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is whether Game 5 is actually played, because the rules treat cancellations, walkovers, disqualifications, delays past seven days, and unneeded fifth games as 50-50 outcomes. For resolution, the market says the official source is gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting or video evidence only if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. Readers should also watch for any remake, surrender, or partial completion, since those edge cases change how the Penta Kill question is judged.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $34 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 5. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 5. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Penta Kill. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 5 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Penta Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Penta Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 5 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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