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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market is focused on whether Game 5 of this League of Legends series produces at least one Quadra Kill. Because a Quadra Kill is one of the biggest teamfight moments in the game, the market is really about whether the final map becomes chaotic enough for one player to stack four quick kills before the fight ends. If the series never reaches a played Game 5, the rules say this contract resolves 50-50 instead of yes or no.
The question here is simple: during Game 5, does any player on either team record a Quadra Kill? In League of Legends, that means one player kills four enemy champions in rapid succession, and the market also counts a Penta Kill as satisfying the condition. The resolution depends only on Game 5 itself, not on earlier games in the series, and the official source is listed as gol.gg.
A fifth game in a series is often the most pressure-filled map, but it can still play out in very different ways depending on draft, team composition, and how close the game stays. Some games end with repeated late-game fights and big cleanup moments, while others are controlled from start to finish and never give one player the chance to run up a multi-kill streak. That uncertainty is what this market is pricing: whether the final game will include one of the most dramatic kill sequences in the sport.
Anything that changes the expected shape of Game 5 can matter here, especially champion picks that favor resets, burst damage, or long teamfights where one carry can clean up multiple kills. If the match reaches a decisive final game with aggressive drafts, heavy scaling, or both teams playing closely contested fights around objectives, the chance of a Quadra Kill generally looks more plausible than in a slow, low-action map. If one side drafts for siege, the game is lopsided early, or the matchup points toward fewer extended fights, that would push expectations the other way.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this market resolves, readers should verify whether Game 5 is actually played, since a series that ends earlier, is postponed beyond seven days, or is canceled can trigger the 50-50 rule. The key source of truth is the official result on gol.gg, and the rules also say a remade Game 5 is judged only on the remade version. If the game ends in surrender or otherwise stops early, the important question is whether a Quadra Kill happened before the stoppage, because that determines whether the answer is Yes or No.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 5. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 5. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 5 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 5 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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