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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: in Game 5, will both FlyQuest and Team Liquid each secure Baron Nashor at least once? Baron is one of the most important neutral objectives in LoL, so this market is really about whether the deciding game becomes a long, back-and-forth fight rather than ending before either side can claim it. The page is tied to a scheduled end date of 2026-06-07, with final resolution based on official match information.
The title names FlyQuest and Team Liquid, two North American esports organizations, and the key event is Game 5 of their series. The outcome is simple: "Yes" if both teams slay Baron Nashor at least once during that game, and "No" if either side fails to do so. Because this is specifically Game 5, the market only matters if the series reaches a full fifth map/game; if the series ends earlier, the rules say it resolves 50-50.
Baron Nashor usually appears only after the 20:00 game timer and can swing a game through map control, so whether both teams take it tells you something about how contested the final game was. A quick win, a one-sided stomp, or an early surrender can easily keep one team from ever reaching Baron, while a slower, more balanced game makes a double-Baron scenario more plausible. The market is pricing that uncertainty around whether this exact Game 5 will feature enough time and control changes for both sides to secure the objective.
Anything that changes the likelihood of a long, competitive Game 5 can move this market. For example, if the series format or earlier games suggest a fast snowballing style, that lowers the chance of both teams getting Baron; if the teams are evenly matched and known for slower objective setups, that raises it. Drafts, patch-dependent objective control, and whether the game reaches the late stages before a decisive fight are especially relevant because Baron only becomes available after 20 minutes.
Related markets
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify that Game 5 is actually played to completion, since the rules send canceled, delayed-too-long, forfeited, or unnecessary games to 50-50 instead of a normal win/loss result. The official source of truth is gol.gg, and if final results are not published there yet, the market may rely on other official information consistent with the rules. It is also important to check the remade-game rule: if the game is remade, only the remade version counts for whether both teams slayed Baron Nashor.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 5. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both FlyQuest and Team Liquid each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 5. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 5. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 5 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 5 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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