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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks whether FlyQuest and Team Liquid will each secure at least one elemental dragon in Game 5 of their League of Legends series. Because it is tied to a single map rather than the full match, the outcome depends on how that one game unfolds around early objective control, not just which team wins the series. The June 7, 2026 deadline suggests this is a live event market centered on that scheduled game window.
The key question is simple: in Game 5, did FlyQuest get at least one elemental dragon kill and did Team Liquid get at least one elemental dragon kill? The market only counts elemental dragons such as Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud, and it explicitly excludes Elder Dragon kills. If Game 5 is never played, is canceled, or is unnecessary because the series ends earlier, the market resolves to 50-50 under the stated rules.
Dragon control is one of the clearest early objectives in League of Legends, so a deciding Game 5 can easily hinge on how aggressively each team plays around the dragon pit. FlyQuest and Team Liquid are established LCS-style opponents, and a full best-of-five often creates a high-variance final map where both teams may fight for at least one dragon, or one side may snowball so hard that the other never secures one. The market is pricing that uncertainty in a very specific way: not who wins, but whether both sides appear on the dragon scoreboard at least once.
Anything that changes the expected pace of Game 5 can matter here, especially draft choices that favor early skirmishing, strong jungle control, or fast objective stacking. A slow, lane-focused game or one team taking a decisive lead around the first two dragon spawns makes a one-sided result more likely; a close, back-and-forth map with repeated river contests makes a 'Yes' more plausible. Because only elemental dragons count, the appearance of Soul pressure does not automatically help unless each team has already taken at least one elemental dragon before an Elder Dragon phase.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important thing to verify is whether Game 5 is actually played and completed, since the rules send several non-played outcomes to 50-50. For a played map, the source of truth should be the official game record or match timeline showing elemental dragon kills for FlyQuest and Team Liquid specifically. Readers should also watch for edge cases in the rules: a surrendered or incomplete game is resolved from the dragons taken before stoppage, while Elder Dragon kills do not count toward this market at all.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 5. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both FlyQuest and Team Liquid each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 5. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 5. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 5 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 5 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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