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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 3?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $5 in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$0
This market is about the opening kill in Game 3 of the CBLOL Playoffs grand final between FURIA Esports and LOS. Because the outcome depends on a single early play in one specific map, it is the kind of esports market that can turn on draft, lane matchups, and how aggressively each team starts the game.
The question is simple: which team gets first blood in Game 3 of the grand final, or whether the game ends up unresolved under the market rules. FURIA Esports and LOS are the two teams in the CBLOL championship match, and the game is scheduled for June 6 at 12:00 PM ET, with resolution tied to that specific third game rather than the series result as a whole. If Game 3 is never completed, never played, or is canceled beyond the stated window, the market resolves to 50-50; if the game is remade or stopped after first blood happens, the team that secured that first kill still counts.
First blood is a narrow event, but in a high-stakes grand final it can still be shaped by early jungle routes, lane priority, and how much risk each side is willing to take before the first objective spawns. Fans and market watchers may disagree because the same matchup can produce very different early-game patterns depending on draft, patch comfort, and whether one team is pressing for tempo or playing more cautiously in a decisive map. The market is not asking who wins the series; it is asking who lands the first decisive early blow in Game 3, which is much harder to forecast from the outside.
Anything that changes the expected Game 3 opener can move this market: draft reveals, lane assignments, jungle pathing hints, and any late roster or substitution news before the match starts. If the series is already at 1-1, that can matter too, since a final map often pushes teams toward safer or more explosive early setups depending on how they want to start the decider. A pause, remake, or unusual restart procedure can also matter here because the rules treat first blood before the stoppage as valid, while a game that never produces first blood can still end in 50-50 under the stated conditions.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is that Game 3 actually begins and is completed, since the resolution changes if the map is canceled, delayed too long, remade, or never played. The market says the official source is gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting or video evidence used only if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. Readers should check the final official game record, especially the first-blood entry for Game 3, and pay attention to any remake notes or forfeit language that could override the normal result.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 3?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $5 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
FURIA Esports
100%
LOS
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Grand final match between FURIA Esports and LOS in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 3. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 3 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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