
--
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $5 in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: during Game 4, does any single player manage a Quadra Kill, meaning four champion kills in quick succession? It is a high-drama moment that usually comes from a lopsided team fight, a clean cleanup, or a late-game carry taking over the map, which makes it the kind of event viewers can miss if they are not watching closely.
The title points to Game 4 of the series, so the outcome depends on that exact map being played and completed. A "Yes" result requires at least one Quadra Kill by any player on either team during Game 4, and a Penta Kill also satisfies the condition because it includes a Quadra Kill along the way. If Game 4 never happens, is canceled, or is stopped for reasons covered in the rules, the market can resolve to 50-50 instead of a normal Yes/No outcome.
Quadra Kills are relatively rare and often decide how memorable a game feels, but they are still uncertain enough that a market can meaningfully debate whether one will happen. In esports, the answer depends on draft quality, team-fight frequency, whether one side gets ahead early, and how long the game lasts, so there is real uncertainty even before the match begins. This page is effectively pricing whether Game 4 will produce one of the most explosive kill-spree moments in League of Legends.
Anything that changes the shape of Game 4 can matter: a fast snowballing draft, hyper-carry champions, or both teams grouping for repeated fights can make a Quadra Kill more likely. By contrast, a very short one-sided game or a low-action control-style match can reduce the chance because there may be fewer extended fights where a player can chain four kills. If the series format changes, the match is delayed, or Game 4 is no longer needed, the resolution rules become the key driver rather than in-game action.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important thing to verify is that Game 4 is actually played and completed, because the rules handle cancellation, long delays, forfeits, and series-clinching scenarios differently from a normal finished map. For resolution, the official source is gol.gg/esports/home, which the market uses to confirm final results, and the page notes a fallback if that source does not publish in time. If the game is remade or ends early, readers should pay close attention to the final official match record, since the market resolves from the remade game only and treats a surrendered game based on whether a Quadra Kill happened before stoppage.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $5 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
0%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 4. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

-0.1%
24h Vol
$639.4K
Liquidity
$8.8K
Spread
2%
12/31/2026
View market
+0.2%
24h Vol
$537.5K
Liquidity
$3K
Spread
3%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$314.3K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$195.6K
Liquidity
$10.7K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$119.2K
Liquidity
$4.2K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market