esports
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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $5 in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question in Game 4: will both FURIA Esports and LOS each secure Baron Nashor at least once? Baron is one of the biggest objectives on the Rift, so this is really a check on how contested and back-and-forth the game becomes. Because the outcome depends on a single match and one objective, it can turn on game pace, teamfight control, and whether either side ever gets the opening to take Baron.
The title refers to Game 4 of a series involving FURIA Esports and LOS, and the market resolves only on whether both teams slay Baron Nashor during that game. In League of Legends, Baron Nashor first appears at 20:00 game time and gives the Hand of Baron buff to the team that kills it, making it a major late-game swing point. The market is not asking who wins the game or the series; it is narrowly focused on whether each team gets at least one Baron takedown in Game 4.
There is real uncertainty because some games never reach multiple Baron fights, while others become extended objective battles where both teams trade control of the map. Teams with aggressive late-game setups, strong vision play, or frequent throws around the pit are more likely to create the kind of game where both sides can claim Baron. Readers following this market are essentially watching whether Game 4 becomes a slow siege, a one-sided finish, or a messy contest with repeated swings around the objective.
Any sign that the game is trending toward a long, even match can matter, because Baron usually enters the picture only after teams survive into the late game. Early kills, tower leads, or a dominant team comp may reduce the chance that the trailing side ever gets a Baron, while repeated teamfights, stalled sieges, and map resets can increase the odds that both teams eventually take one. Because the market resolves on the official game result, a remake, surrender, or incomplete game can also change the outcome if Baron had not been taken by both sides before stoppage.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key things to verify are whether Game 4 is actually played, completed, and recorded in the official results, and whether both FURIA Esports and LOS are credited with a Baron kill. The market rules say the official source is gol.gg/esports/home, and they also spell out special cases: if the match is canceled, delayed too long, ends in a walkover, or Game 4 is never needed, the market resolves to 50-50. If the game is remade, only the remade version counts, so the final official record matters more than any live broadcast moment.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $5 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
100%
No
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 4. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both FURIA Esports and LOS each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 4. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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