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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $5 in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: in Game 4 of FURIA Esports vs. LOS, will both teams manage to secure at least one elemental dragon? Because dragon control is one of the clearest early- and mid-game objectives in LoL, this is a narrow, objective-based bet on how the map develops in a single game. The market is set to resolve off the official game state, not on who wins the match or how many total dragons are taken.
The event is Game 4 of the FURIA Esports vs. LOS series, and the outcome turns on whether each team slays at least one elemental dragon during that game. Only elemental dragons count here: Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud. Elder Dragon kills do not count, and if Game 4 never happens for reasons like cancellation, a quick series finish, forfeit, or walkover, the market resolves 50-50 under the listed rules.
This kind of market captures a small but meaningful in-game milestone that can go either way depending on draft, lane pressure, and objective trading. Even in a single match, one team can control every dragon while the other gets none, so the question is whether both sides will find at least one dragon window before the game ends. The current trading setup suggests the market expects that outcome to be unlikely, which usually happens when one side is seen as more likely to dominate map control or close the game before both teams share dragon takes.
The biggest drivers are the draft, early jungle pathing, and whether the teams trade objectives around the dragon pit at the 5:00 spawn and the follow-up spawns every five minutes. A fast snowball, an early surrender, or a one-sided stomp can leave one team without any dragon kill at all, while a slower, scrappier game with repeated objective setups makes the “both teams slay one” outcome more plausible. Because the market is about Game 4 specifically, anything that changes who needs the game more, or how aggressively the teams play around neutral objectives in that game, can matter a lot.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is whether Game 4 is actually played to completion and, if not, whether the stoppage triggers the market’s 50-50 rule or the partial-game dragon rule. Readers should also watch the official match timeline or in-game objective record, since the resolution depends only on whether FURIA and LOS each secured at least one elemental dragon, not on kills, towers, or the final score. If the game reaches Elder Dragon only after a team has already claimed four elemental dragons, that later Elder kill still does not count toward this market.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $5 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
0%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 4. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both FURIA Esports and LOS each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 4. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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