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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 4?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $105 in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$105
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific question inside the CBLOL Grand Final: which team gets the first kill in Game 4 of FURIA Esports vs. LOS. Because it is tied to one exact game in a best-of series, the answer depends on draft, lane matchups, and early map movement rather than who wins the overall match.
The event is the CBLOL Playoffs grand final between FURIA Esports and LOS, scheduled for June 6 at 12:00 PM ET, and the market resolves on the team that secures first blood in Game 4. First blood means the first champion kill of that game, so the outcome is either FURIA Esports or LOS unless the rules force a 50-50 result. The market also spells out what happens if Game 4 is remade, interrupted, never played, or delayed past seven days, which is important because those edge cases can change how the result is settled.
There is real uncertainty here because first blood can swing on a single early skirmish, jungle path, or lane matchup, and Game 4 may be played under different conditions depending on the series score and draft state. Even in a grand final, the team that looks stronger overall is not always the one that draws first blood in a particular game, so this market is pricing a narrow in-game event rather than the series winner. The matchup matters because both teams are established CBLOL finalists, and a grand final gives the game enough stakes that every early move can be deliberate and high impact.
Anything that changes the expected early-game plan can move this market: champion select, whether either side drafts aggressive engage or scaling lanes, and whether a team is likely to pressure an invade or level-one setup. If the series reaches Game 4 with one team needing a momentum swing, viewers may expect more proactive early plays, which can affect expectations for who gets the first kill. Officially reported lineup changes, pauses, remakes, or a different Game 4 start state would also matter because the market resolves based on the first blood rules written in the description.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this market resolves, readers should verify that Game 4 is actually played and completed, since a cancellation, walkover, disqualification, or delay beyond seven days leads to a 50-50 outcome. The key source of truth is the official result information on gol.gg, with credible reporting or video evidence only used if final results are not posted within two hours after the match ends. Because the market has special rules for incomplete games and remakes, the safest check is whether the first blood happened before any stoppage and whether the final official game record matches that sequence.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 4?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $105 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
FURIA Esports
0%
LOS
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Grand final match between FURIA Esports and LOS in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 4. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 4 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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