Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?

What this market is about

The event is the grand final of the CBLOL Playoffs, scheduled for June 6 at 12:00 PM ET, and the market only concerns Game 4 of that series. It resolves to Over if the official Game 4 result shows 25 total kills or more, and Under if the total is 24 or fewer. If the series never reaches Game 4, or Game 4 is not completed for reasons such as cancellation, delay beyond seven days, forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, the market is set to 50-50 under the rules.

Why the market exists

A single League of Legends game can land on very different kill counts depending on the teams’ style, the draft, and whether the game becomes a quick stomp or a longer, more contested map. In a final, teams may also adjust more cautiously after earlier games, which can keep kills low, while desperation or a snowballing lead can push the total higher. The market is pricing that uncertainty for one exact map rather than the whole series.

What can move the price

Anything that changes expectations for Game 4 specifically can move this market: a series score that makes one side more likely to draft aggressively, a remade game, or a confirmed change in lineups that affects early-game fighting. Map length matters too, since faster closes often suppress kill totals while messy, back-and-forth games can quickly pass 24 kills. Because the market is tied to the official Game 4 result, any update about whether the map will actually be played, completed, or remade is directly relevant.

How to read the current probability